The Sports Investing Professional - Tuesday

Monday Recap - Another very nice day and it basically went
as I thought it would. The Indians had NO SHOT at getting to
Floyd and Florida would find a way to win. I thought the
Marlins game might be close because when you beat a team
6 straight like they had done to the Nats...personal pride had
to come into play for Washington but this is a bottom line biz and
our bottom line just got a thousand dollars richer with our 2-0
start to the week.

For today I do have one game that is worth an investment.
That's the good news...the news that will make some of you laugh
is that today's best investment comes via the WNBA. You don't
need glasses and that's not a typo. Today we're looking at the
Chicago Sky. A Solid team facing a Sacramento team that is
real bad on the road. As much as I like the Sky in this spot,
-7.5 is a bullshit line in pro basketball....mens or womens.
It might as well be 10 because that's the type of game you need
when you lay that number.

Now, I am a believer in using point buys. Some of you may not be.
Do you know why the Las Vegas Strip casinos only let you buy 1 point
and won't let you buy off or on 3? There was an extensive
study done on the VALUE of buying points and what it's actually
worth. The results....buying 1 point is not even worth the -130 you're
going to pay for it and that's why the Vegas books will let you
buy 1 all day because in the long run it actually improves their
bottom line. On the other side, buying 3 points in an NBA game
when the favorite is between -4 and -12.5 is actually WORTH
-190. So when you go to a book who will give you -170 on a
three point buy guess what....you've got 20 cents of VALUE built in.
That's why a lot of books will give you a 2 pt buy for -150 but 3 points
will cost you -190.

Take it for what it's worth. Some of you will always be against it
and others will be for it but I can only go by my own bottom line
and it says that staying on -7.5 in this game is bad news. The Sky
have won all their home games but are 2-2 ATS. Both non-covers
were by 1.5 points I believe. Since I see this as a tricky number
I'm taking a full 3 point buy here and going to -4.5. With
Sacramento giving up 82 points per game on the road it shouldn't
matter but if it's tight and a free throw war breaks out I want to
be laying less than 5 and I'm more than willing to lay the -170 to
do it. Sometimes that's just the price of doing business.

***UPDATE NOON EASTERN - I WAS NOT ABLE TO PLACE MY WAGER LAST NIGHT AS THE BOOKS I USE OFF SHORE, BET JAMAICA AND DIAMOND SPORTS HAD THE GAME OFF THE BOARD. THIS MORNING THE LINE HAS FALLEN QUITE A BIT SO MOST OF YOU SHOULD HAVE GOT THIS GAME AT ABOUT -6 OR LESS AND WITH THE 3 PT BUY AT -3 OR LESS


WNBA - CHICAGO SKY -2.5 -170 [3 Point Buy} 850 / 500


May The Ball Bounce Your Way,

The Sports Investing Professional

Record (7-1) + $3000